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Nearshoring & Energy

Moving Manufacturing to Mexico?
Your Energy Plan Is Your Business Plan.

Mexico's grid expanded 0.1% last year while demand grew 3.5%. Build on sand, or build on intelligence.

The Numbers They Hide

What the Site Selection Report Doesn't Tell You

0.0%
Grid Transmission Growth
CFE 2024
0.0%
Industrial Demand Growth
CENACE 2024
0%
CENACE Reserve Margin
May 2024 — Critical threshold

Congestion at Grid Nodes

Critical corridors in Bajío, Occidente, and Noreste show persistent congestion during peak industrial demand. Standard site selection models don't capture this.

Demand Outpacing Infrastructure

Nearshoring-driven demand is growing 35× faster than transmission capacity. Every new industrial park compounds the imbalance.

Curtailment Risk Is Real

CENACE emergency declarations during peak periods expose unprotected facilities to production stoppages that don't appear in energy price forecasts.

Bottom line: Energy reliability is no longer a background assumption. It's a strategic variable that directly impacts production continuity and the viability of your Mexico operations.

Regulatory Framework

Your Options for Energy Autonomy

Fastest path
< 0.5 MW

Distributed Generation

Why It Works
  • Operational in 4–6 months. No federal permitting delays.
  • Net metering under GDMTH tariff structure offsets 30–50% of bill
  • Below the CNE threshold, so regulatory risk is near zero
What to Watch
  • Capped at 0.5 MW — won't cover heavy industrial loads
  • Grid nodes in Bajío corridors are increasingly congested
  • Capacity ceiling limits future expansion without reclassification
Recommended for manufacturing
> 0.7 MW

Isolated Supply (Abasto Aislado)

Why It Works
  • Full energy autonomy. Grid serves as backup only.
  • Scalable to match growing facility demand
  • Financial models show 5–7 year payback on greenfield sites
What to Watch
  • CNE permit required — add 6–12 months to timeline
  • Interconnection study mandatory — CENACE approval bottleneck
  • Longer approval timeline increases exposure to regulatory shifts
Portfolio-level impact
Large-scale

Utility-Scale Generation

Why It Works
  • Maximum capacity and portfolio-level impact
  • Long-term price stability through structured agreements
  • Attractive risk-return profile for infrastructure investors
What to Watch
  • Federal generation compliance rules (DACG) apply — framework actively evolving since October 2025
  • Mandatory battery storage integration under 2025 rules
  • Complex permitting and financial structuring required
Regional Intelligence

Why Jalisco Is Different

Mexico's second-largest industrial economy — and PBD advises its state energy agency directly.

0%

Renewable energy target — most ambitious state-level goal in Mexico

Jalisco's Economic Development Ministry (SEDES)
0

Active renewable projects advancing through state coordination

Jalisco's Economic Development Ministry (SEDES)
USD 0B

Active project pipeline in Jalisco's energy corridor

Jalisco's Industrial Parks Authority (APIEJ)
USD 0.0B

Plan México incentives directed at Jalisco priority corridors

Mexico's Finance Ministry (SHCP)

PBD's advisory role with the Agencia de Energía del Estado de Jalisco provides inside access to the regulatory pipeline and project sequencing — information not available in public databases.

How It Works

Your Nearshoring Energy Strategy Starts Here

01

We Audit Your Energy Physics

Consumption patterns, grid exposure, CENACE curtailment risk, regulatory position. No cost. No commitment.

02

We Run the Vendor Comparison

Independent benchmarking of vetted providers — solar, storage, EV, efficiency. Technically rigorous. Vendor-neutral.

03

You Deploy with Confidence

Select the solution that fits your engineering and financial constraints. Our advisory fee is covered by the winning provider.